The trade war escalated, recession fears rise and consequently oil demand growth is to take a sizeable hit,
The opening salvo Wednesday afternoon was too devastating, puerile and economically illiterate to move past, and the economic downturn that was already underway will now evolve into something worse,
The tariff developments will remain the dominant driver for financial markets over the near-term,
This trade war is like nothing we've seen for years, perhaps decades,
Another jolt of fear has shot through markets as China's threat of retaliation has materialised,
Sentiment is so fragile right now,
The second is that the looming global trade war is proving the greater leveller for rate spreads,
The first is that the euro has better liquidity than sterling and will benefit more as investors leave the dollar,
During a wave of uncertainty, one thing is evident—Trump’s policies and pronouncements have produced a negative sentiment shift toward the US among international travelers. The correlating decline in international travel to the US is expected to be strongest in 2025, with persisting degrees of impact throughout the remainder of Trump’s second term,
Investors looking to buy on the dip were spoiled for choice given the sharp declines seen on the market this week. It’s now a question of when investors feel brave enough to go shopping. Today’s extended sell-off implies they are still too nervous to take the plunge,
As indices remained rooted in the bottom and the US dollar suffered a broad-based slump, it is clear that market sentiment is fragile, and this might not be the end of the selling. Even gold, often a safe haven, could not escape the selling pressure, reinforcing fears that rising tariffs could spell trouble across asset classes. Indeed, crude oil was even lower,
We see 5,300 as the near-term target for the S&P 500, but if tariff uncertainty persists or negotiations with trading partners don't go well, risks of downside through 5,000 become real,
We are working on a package of responses that can go well beyond tariffs, in order, once again, to bring the U.S. to the negotiating table and reach a fair agreement,
The tariff plan does not appear to be well thought-out. Trade negotiations are a highly technical discipline, and in our view these proposals do not offer a serious basis for negotiations with any country,
Investments to come or investments announced in recent weeks should be suspended until things are clarified with the United States,
The global economy is fundamentally different today than it was yesterday,
The EU will respond in a calm, carefully phased, and above all, unified way, as we calibrate our response,
People yell or scream in shock, or horror sometimes, [and] that’s probably my favorite because it’s funny to me because it’s a dramatic response,
I was a character at a theme park,
At a time when the United States is facing unprecedented cyber threats … how does firing him make Americans any safer?”