The talk of tariffs is, in a lot of ways, worse than the implementation of them,
I do not believe the administration knows how the tariff situation will play out, but if I were a betting man I would say that it will persist long enough to do damage to economic activity for at least a quarter or two, and ultimately result in a deal with different countries that make everyone wonder why we went through all the fuss,
I don't think we will talk about a U.S. recession. The U.S economy is resilient, I would say, largely despite Donald Trump,
U.S. consumers have money to spend, [and] they probably will. The labor market in the U.S. remains reasonably firm, and with energy prices coming down a bit and probably some tax cuts and deregulation coming, I don't think there's an imminent recession risk,
The more benign macroeconomic backdrop that investors had in mind going into 2025 has arguably been shattered,
Fiscal policies will be the primary driver of almost everything that matters to investors,
Despite elevated levels of uncertainty, the US economy continues to be in a good place,
Federal government job losses could be larger than expected, and laid-off workers could pull back on their spending, leading to slower job growth in other industries,
Absolutely not... There's going to be no recession in America."
It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us,
Donald Trump is a winner. He’s going to win for the American people. That’s just the way it’s going to be,
I would never bet on recession,
We're okay with that. It won't be much."
He's not going to step off the gas,
Pounding Canada as if they're the exact same thing as China - it just creates this chaotic feeling,
These broad, indiscriminate and on-again, off-again tariffs don't help anyone. They don't help farmers. They don't help auto workers. They're a mistake,
Anybody who bets against Donald Trump, it’s like the same people who thought Donald Trump wasn’t going to win a year ago … you are going to see over the next two years the greatest set of growth coming from America … I would never bet on recession, no chance.”
You may get it. In the meantime, guess what? Interest rates are down.”
We’re a big, big country and they do a lot of their business with us, whereas in our case it’s much less significant. We do very little with Canada by comparison,
We’ll unleash America out to the world, grow our economy in a way we’ve never grown before. You are going to see over the next two years the greatest set of growth coming from America as Americans,