Determining whether Donald Trump is causing a recession involves examining several aspects of his economic policies,
The potential for a recession is still a topic of debate among experts,
On the other hand, ... there are arguments that while Trump's policies might lead to immediate economic challenges, they may not necessarily cause a full recession."
Consumer spending is the main pillar of the US economy; so, if it were to start cracking, then that would remove one of the main foundations of the US economy, and could precipitate a recession,
What you have right now is a lack of clarity of policy, a lack of clarity of policy intention and a lack of clarity as to the objectives of policy,
We’re not seeing any indication that there is an imminent recession, but we are seeing signs that private sector activity is cooling,
We have to be careful with that definition,
There has to be some persistence. So, it can’t just be a one-month mishap with consumer spending or employment, or whatever economic data we get — it has to last some time.”
It can’t just be a blip in economic activity,
There isn’t necessarily a reason to be extremely concerned about an imminent recession, because we’re coming out of two very strong years of growth, ... an environment where income growth was strong, where productivity growth was strong, where consumer spending growth is strong and, really, where the economy overall was quite strong.”
That is a way better security guarantee than 20,000 troops from some random country that hasn’t fought a war in 30 or 40 years.”
There's going to be no recession in America. ... If Donald Trump is bringing growth to America, I would never bet on recession, no chance."
There's going to be a natural adjustment as we move away from public spending to private spending,
What we're doing is we're building a tremendous foundation,
There are a lot of reasons to be extremely bullish about the economy going forward,
What I have to do is build a strong country,
I don't think we will talk about a U.S. recession. The U.S economy is resilient, I would say, largely despite Donald Trump,
U.S. consumers have money to spend, [and] they probably will. The labor market in the U.S. remains reasonably firm, and with energy prices coming down a bit and probably some tax cuts and deregulation coming, I don't think there's an imminent recession risk,
Foreign goods may get a little more expensive. But American goods are going to get cheaper".
It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us,